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Muslim Childbirths to Outpace Christian Births by 2035

Muslim women giving birth to children is expected to surpass the number of Christian women giving birth to children by 2035, according to newly released Pew Research Center projections.

From 2010-15, an estimated 223 million children were born to Christian parents and 213 million to Muslim parents.

Muslims births are projected to reach 225 million between 2030 and 2035, compared to 224 million Christian births. By 2055-60, 232 million births are expected for Muslim parents and 226 million for Christian parents.

This is due, in part, to the relatively older global Christian population and the comparatively younger global Muslim population.

“Christians were the largest religious group in the world in 2015, making up nearly a third (31 percent) of Earth’s 7.3 billion people,” Pew explained. “Muslims were second, with 1.8 billion people, or 24 percent of the global population, followed by religious ‘nones’ (16 percent), Hindus (15 percent) and Buddhists (7 percent). Adherents of folk religions, Jews and members of other religions make up smaller shares of the world’s people.”

“Between 2015 and 2060, the world’s population is expected to increase by 32 percent, to 9.6 billion,” the report added. “Over that same period, the number of Muslims – the major religious group with the youngest population and the highest fertility – is projected to increase by 70 percent. The number of Christians is projected to rise by 34 percent, slightly faster than the global population overall yet far more slowly than Muslims.”

The full report is available here.